RT Journal Article SR Electronic T1 Predictors of recurrence following an initial episode of transverse myelitis JF Neurology - Neuroimmunology Neuroinflammation JO Neurol Neuroimmunol Neuroinflamm FD Lippincott Williams & Wilkins SP e4 DO 10.1212/NXI.0000000000000004 VO 1 IS 1 A1 Dorlan J. Kimbrough A1 Maureen A. Mealy A1 Alexandra Simpson A1 Michael Levy YR 2014 UL http://nn.neurology.org/content/1/1/e4.abstract AB Objective: This study sought to identify factors that increased the risk of recurrence after an initial transverse myelitis (TM) presentation.Methods: Retrospective cohort study of 192 patients initially presenting with TM of unknown etiology. Patients diagnosed with multiple sclerosis during the first myelitis episode were excluded. Demographic and laboratory data were analyzed for associations with recurrence.Results: One hundred ten of 192 patients (57%) eventually developed recurrent symptoms: 69 (63%) neuromyelitis optica (NMO) or NMO spectrum disorder, 34 (31%) non-NMO recurrent TM, and 7 (6%) systemic autoimmune disease. Multiple independent risk factors for recurrence were identified: African American race (risk ratio 1.60, p < 0.001, 95% confidence interval 1.26–2.03; similarly noted hereafter), female sex (1.88, p = 0.007, 1.19–2.98), longitudinally extensive myelitis at onset (1.34, p = 0.036, 1.01–1.78), Sjogren syndrome antigen A (1.89, p = 0.003, 1.44–2.48), vitamin D insufficiency (4.00, p < 0.001, 1.60–10.0), antinuclear antibody titer ≥1:160 (1.69, p = 0.006, 1.23–2.32), and the presence of inflammatory markers (e.g., immunoglobulin G index) in the CSF (2.14, p < 0.001, 1.44–3.17).Conclusions: Sex, race, and serologic biomarkers warrant consideration when assessing risk of TM recurrence. Male sex and Caucasian American race were independently associated with risk of monophasic idiopathic TM. Recurrence risk in female and African American patients appears driven by a greater likelihood of developing NMO or NMO spectrum disorder.ANA=antinuclear antibody; Ig=immunoglobulin; JHH=Johns Hopkins Hospital; LETM=longitudinally extensive TM; MAD=median absolute deviation; MS=multiple sclerosis; NMO=neuromyelitis optica; NMOSD=NMO spectrum disorder; OR=odds ratio; SLE=systemic lupus erythematosus; TM=transverse myelitis